Wcco November 5, 2008
Posted by thesurrealtimes in : Uncategorized , trackbackThe Handy Dandy Base Map
I said I might produce one more electoral vote estimate. Instead, I’ve produced this map (using RCP web resources):
Every state that is blue is a state that Obama will win no matter what. The recent polls all show way beyond the margin of error an Obama victory. Same fr the red states but for McCain.
All but one of the tossup states show, in the most recent polls, statistical uncertainty. Obama and McCain are statistically indistinguishable in all but one of these states.
The exception is Pennsylvania. I leave Pennsylvania a tossup because I don’t trust this state (in this particular respect) for a number of reasons. A lot has been sunk into this state. If there will be an effective Republican ground game anywhere, it will be here. Some numbers do show a closing gap here. And, by leaving Pennsylvania a tossup, we have neither candidate winning in electoral votes. This way, when one candidate or the other passes the 270 needed to win, we can either pop the cork on the champaign or anti-celebrate in some appropriate way.
By the time you read this, I’m off somewhere on the streets of the Northern Suburbs GOTV-ing. Which is where you should be.
See you this evening!
read the comments on this post…
Related posts: Snl november 3 2008, Obama trailer, Nite tales, Bells tn, Fashion movie review
Comments»
[…] posts: Wcco, Omicron, Puppies, Obama trailer, Fashion movie […]
[…] posts: Wcco, Obama south park, Snl november 3 2008, Fashion movie review, Dallas cowboys […]
[…] posts: Wcco, Obama trailer, Snl november 3 2008, Nite tales, Paul walker […]